Monty Hall Dilemma, Reason, Learning Experientially, and pigeons

Sunday, April 4th, 2010

Named for Monty Hall, host of “Let’s Make a Deal” game show, the situation is: You have a choice between the prize behind one of 3 doors, “Door number one, door number two, or door number three”, in his words. Behind one of these doors is a shiny new car. Behind the other two are [...]

Gambling with marbles

Tuesday, December 29th, 2009

When I was in fifth grade marbles were a big thing in our school. But we didn’t have the ordinary marble games where you chase each other around by trying to hit your opponent’s marble, or trying to knock other marbles out of a circle that’s drawn in the dirt. Our marble gaming area was [...]

Combinatorials

Saturday, September 19th, 2009

This is just me, working through something that I need to work through because I don’t have it burned into memory yet. Last night I sat at two $25nl tables at Tilt to earn some FTP points for their September promotion. At one table I had been fairly active due to the hands that I [...]

No Limit Hold’em starting hands; the Next Generation

Monday, October 27th, 2008

I wrote a post long ago about starting hands to play in No Limit Hold’em, No limit Hold’Em; another beginners strategy. Part 1: Preflop hand selection. It was as simple as I could make it, and gave basic guidelines for a beginner. Once you get a feel for playing those hands, there are more hands [...]

Odds to call all-in, and Odds against random hands

Thursday, June 19th, 2008

Calling an all-in preflop, or, calling a preflop raise that will put you all-in, requires putting your opponent on a range of hands that he’s likely to be making this move with. ICM helps to determine when this is the correct call, but ICM starts from the odds that your hand will win against the [...]

Calculating Odds and Outs; Part V; Bet sizing, and Expressed verses Implied Odds

Thursday, May 15th, 2008

I’m finally just about ready to wrap this up. As usual, it was more work than I expected and took more words and more posts than I had anticipated. ~ Bet sizing We’ve looked at when to call bets relative to your draws, and I mentioned briefly how terrible small bets are since they give [...]

Calculating Odds and Outs; Part IV, Using Percentages

Thursday, May 15th, 2008

Rather than considering odds in terms of 3 to 1, you can look at them in terms of percentages. First, determine your outs as we did previously. 9 outs to a flush on the turn, with 47 cards possible. Simply get the percentage of 9 to 47 which equals 19%. So, you have a 19% [...]

Calculating Odds and Outs; Part III; Odds on the River

Tuesday, May 13th, 2008

So far we’ve counted our outs, looked at how to translate outs into odds of hitting those outs, calculated the pot odds that our opponent is giving us, and compared the pot odds to the odds of us hitting one of our outs. All on the flop, looking only at the turn card to come. [...]